Wednesday, July 4, 2012

Stock Holdings Update and Current Purchases

I've been evaluating my portfolio and my current holdings and amounts.  As stated previously, I sold off the majority of my stocks to help fund the purchase of a new home.

I have a certain dollar amount which I call a full position.  Sometimes I overweight on a stock if I feel particularly confidant that it has potential.  Other times I underweight a position if is more speculative and risky.  A lot of investing involves investing money amounts that you are comfortable with.  If you put amounts that are keeping you awake at night.  You then need to rethink your philosophy and how much you put in.

For the record, my current portfolio contains the following holdings:

  • Arctic Cat (ACAT) - currently acquiring shares for a full position.
  • Ameresco (AMRC) - currently acquiring shares for a full position.
  • Activision Blizzard (ATVI) - holding full position
  • Dolby (DLB) - holding full position
  • Momenta Pharmaceuticals (MNTA) - holding a third of a position.  Currently evaluating whether to continue to acquire shares.
  • National Oilwell (NOV) - overweight 17% above a full position due to dividend reinvestment.
  • Seaspan (SSW) - overweight 5% due to dividend reinvestment.
In my stock search, LinkedIn has move to the top of my list.  Next week's stock order will include my last purchase of ACAT to complete a full position.  It also included my first purchase of LNKD.  

LNKD will be an addition to my Thundercougarfalcon Fund.  That fund was started two years ago to track my own selections outside the newsletters.  Unfortunately, I neglected my own stock research so currently the fund holds one stock.  I wanted to add three to four stocks a year to it.  If I had followed through, I'd probably have a 8-10 stock personal fund.

Next post, I hope to have my reasons and some research on why I'm buying LinkedIn.

Saturday, June 9, 2012

New Watch List for 2012

So what?  The year is starting the sixth month.  I'm sticking with the old adage that it's never to late to invest.  Since I purchased the house, I've neglected my portfolio.  Now is the time to start rebuilding it.

Today I was pleasantly surprised when I took a peak at my brokerage account.  I have a little more than I thought I did.  That's always nice.

I decided to start a new watch list.  It's been so long that I actually updated my old watch list that I decided it is better to start from scratch.

The new watch list consists of:

Regis (RGS)
Retail Opportunity Investment Corp (ROIC)
Brookfield Infrastructure Partners (BIP)
Builders FirstSource (BLDR)

From the Motley Fool article, 3 Unappreciated Stocks To Buy Hand Over Fist in 2012, , the three stocks mentioned are:

Regis (RGS) - Owns hair salons including Super Cuts.  
Article Notes:
1. Old ownership wasted shareholder capital  on bad deals and bloated middle management.
2.  Starboard Capital won a proxy fight and installed three members on the board. 
3.  Due to Starboard challenge, CEO-elect and COO resigned.  Middle management cut and company looking to sell non-core business such as beauty schools and hair restoration business.
4. North American operations is a cash cow.  Cuts of management, sell of non-core assets and other moves could leave it with plenty of cash.

Retail Opportunity  Investment Corp (ROIC) - a REIT that prefers property in affluent areas with a high traffic retail anchor store.  Also buys depressed commercial real estate and low prices.
Article Notes:
1.  CEO Stuart Tanz experienced with REITs.  Ran Kimco Realty that earned investors over 800% in ten years.
2. $600 market cap, 4% dividend, payout of 70-80% of funds.

Brookfield Infrastructure Partners (BIP) - owns a wide variety of assets such as "timberland, railroads, ports, power transmission assets and coal terminals."
Article notes:
1.  Looks to invest in high quality assets with steady income streams.
2. Lists acquisition of two Chilean toll roads and Australian Prime Infrastructure as examples of types of assets BIP invests in.
3.  Also states that company has goal of capital appreciation of 12-15% a year along with a payout growth of 3-7%.

From one of my newsletter subscriptions:
Builders FirstSource (BLDR) - supplies raw materials to home builders mostly in the South and East United States.   Basically anything a builder needs, from materials to contractor services,  BLDR will sell or install it.  Insiders are buying on the open market. 

In my opinion, this is a very risky stock.  With prices ranging recently from $3-4, it almost looks either like a garbage stock or undervalued.  Only more research will tell which direction I will go.

Note on subscription watch list stocks:  I don't feel obligated to not divulge watch list stocks from newsletters.  The stocks are mentioned as ones to keep an eye on and for further research for subscribers.  The stocks are not recommendations and are not tracked with sell, hold or buy and updates like the formal recommendations are.  A stock may only be mentioned once in a newsletter and never heard from again.  Thus, I feel free to discuss those stocks on my blog.

Finally I ran a stock screen on the Wall Street Journal website: WSJ Stock Screen 6-9-2012 (pdf file).

Sunday, June 3, 2012

Investing Update


Long time since my last investing check in.  Obviously much has changes since then.

First off, I sold off the vast majority of my holdings and at a profit.  Then second move stems from the first. With the proceeds from my investments I purchased my new home.

Now that I'm settled in my home and the necessities bought, I can once again focus on rebuilding my portfolio.

I've often read that one should have investment goals and a philosphy. It doesn't have to be complex, wordy or fancy. A simple statement to give one general direction to a goal. A philosophy of what type of investments will help someone keep focused and avoid buying unfamiliar securities.

In short, my goal is to make money. More long term, I want to invest to supplement my retirement or pay off my home house at retirement.

Philosophy-wise, I prefer small to mid cap stocks. They can be more volatile and risky but rewards can be higher.  I also look to mix in a few microcaps to try to juice my returns.

The Current Plan
I use two newsletters for stock ideas. Each newsletter provides four stock ideas. I can't afford to buy stocks a month so I evaluate one or two stocks with for best return.  Since both are subscription newsletters, I often delay announcing my buys. I don't think it is fair to newsletter subscribers, writers and me to give away the information immediately.

Aside from the newsletter buys, I plan on doing stock screen searches and other sources to build a watch list for research for future buys. Since those will be my independent research, I will post those as without delays.

The final goal is educating myself. Along the way I will make mistakes. I hope to learn from those mistakes and make better investing decisions. On the flip side, I hope just as much to learn from what I do right.

Stay tuned for further developments.

Tuesday, April 19, 2011

Portfolio Move - Adding Positions and a Candidate

I subscribe to one the Motley Fool newsletters so I can't claim the pick are my own.  As it is a subscription service, much of the data or analysis is not for public consumption.  I pay for the service and The Motley Fool issues stock and financial advice in return.  Given those circumstances, I will disclose very little other than say where my source for the stocks I'm purchasing are from.

I'm rating an immediate buy for Ameresco (NYSE: AMRC).  Ameresco is an energy services company.  I'll post a better description in a few days.  I don't want to publish results from the newsletter.  Instead I'll do my own synopsis. It's currently priced around $15 per stub.  There is a lot of potential for returns and it's a recent IPO.  More details coming soon.

Chinese web portal Sina is slow accumulation stock.  I plan on purchasing slowly over a period of time until I have a what I consider a full position in my portfolio.   

Watch List stocks: TTM Technologies (TTMI), Titanium Metals (TIE), Vodafone (VOD)

Vodafone will be an official candidate for the ThunderCougarFalconBird Fund pending research and due diligence.  I plan on presenting my research on this blog and making a decision on whether or not to add VOD to the Fund.

Finally, due to stock appreciation, I already own more than a full position in Dolby.  As of this post, I'm up 35% on my original investment.  Sometimes the best investment is a stock you already own.  So I'm considering adding to my Dolby holdings.

Wednesday, September 8, 2010

Brazilian Growth

I've been obsessed with Brazil and its economy. Finance media regards Brazil as an "emerging" market. I tend to disagree with that assessment. I'm starting to view Brazil as a stable and growing market versus an emerging market. Right now I'd rather money in Brazil than Greece or Ireland. Brazil striving to become a world class economy. Greece is struggling to stay afloat. China is a hot economy trying not to overheat.

Brazil obviously isn't without risk. When I describe it as stable, that term is still relative. Poverty and crime still are a major problem. No matter what you think, those issues affect the economy.

I have no clue about government regulation and oversight of financial markets.

Then there are risks inherent in investing such as human nature and greed, bad management and taking on to much debt and flat out business failure.

However as a growing economy Brazil represents a unique opportunity to profit in a country's growth and future. Over the next year or two I plan on investing in a three or four Brazilian companies as well as a broad market fund.

These investments will be gradual and in addition to my usual investing objectives. I view the Brazil opportunity as chance to augment my portfolio but not my primary investing concentration.

The iShares Brazil fund I talked about in my last post will probably be my first investment. While a broad index fund is a good way to get money on the table, individual stocks can increase profit potential. Keep in mind that individual stocks also increases risk.

So far I have four candidate companies from the the Motley Fool article "Follow Landers Into Brazil." The article features four companies I will use as jumping off points for research: Petrobras, Itua UniBanco, Vale and Banco Bradesco.

The choices I make will become part of the official ThunderCougarFalconBird Fund.

Also on my previous post, I indicated interest in an iShares high yield bond fund. It may or may not be what I was looking for. After reading the prospectus I'm not entirely clear if it is a junk bond fund. It probably is but of course the literature won't refer to it as such. Thus the term "high yield" because junk bond investors require a higher interest for the risk.

Friday, September 3, 2010

All Is Quiet

Right now I'm on the grand voyage of looking for a home. As such, my investing has slowed down as I prepare for purchase of the house.

I finally closed out my portfolio portion of shipping company Seaspan. Other than that I've let the research go to the way side for now. Not smart but house buying and summer fun have gotten in the way.

Until now I've dealt exclusively in buying stocks long. No shorts, options, mutual, ETFs or bonds have entered the portfolio.

I'm about to add a new product to my fund. I'm going to research a Brazil broad market fund. I'm also going to attempt to dabble a small part of my portfolio in a junk bond fund.

My portfolio is humming along very well despite the gloom and doom of the mass media. I adhere to the Motley Fool philosophy is you can make money regardless of the market. The key is to find well run companies, return cash to investors and have a history of good shareholder relations. It helps that management owns a good size of stock to align their wealth with mine.

So why the change? It's not really a change. My overall investing thesis remains. I decided to branch of for exposure to different risk. Most my exposure to foreign markets is through the international portion of my 401. I decided country specific gets me more targeted returns but it comes at a higher risk. As for junk bonds, it's just a risk I'm willing to take for some higher yields as well as capital appreciation since it is a traded fund.

For disclosure purposes the funds I'm researching are the iShares MSCI Brazil Index Fund (EWF) and iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond Fund (HYG). Actually I'm not sure High Yield is junk bonds but it's worth a look.

I should have a decision sometime next week.

Saturday, May 29, 2010

ThunderCougarFalconBird Fund Buys and Amended Rules

The new Thundercougarfalconbird Fund continues to acquire the first asset of Seaspan (SSW) which I explained in previous post. SSW is going to be a gradual accumulation until I feel I decide the risk outweighs the return. I'm looking to buy twice the amount of SSW than I do other spots. One reason is that I feel it has plenty of growth left in the stock price. Another is it pays a hive dividend distributing most profit not used to expand or run the business. I'm also allocating an amount toward my Roth fund.

I'm in the process of vetting new stocks for my next purchases. I'm currently looking to add another small cap but and finding one mega oil company to look tempting.

One final note on my portfolio candidates. I've stated that I base most my selection for my personal portfolio on newsletters I subscribe to. With the Thundercougarfalconbird Fund, I want to limit my exposure to those picks on my scorecard. I plan on using no more than four per year in the Thundercougarfalcon Fund's performance. Other stock ideas that I get from newsletters that are not official recommendations will be counted. The newsletters only introduce watch list stock with minimal research. Due to the research I'd put in, I feel I can rightly include these stock.